USD/JPY Forecast

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TheSmartInvestor
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USD/JPY Forecast

Post by TheSmartInvestor »

πŸ“ˆ USD/JPY – Bullish Outlook Amid Political Uncertainty (September 23, 2025)

Current Price: 148.00
Trend: Bullish πŸ”Ί
Resistance Levels: 148.50, 149.00
Support Levels: 147.50, 147.00

Technical Overview:
USD/JPY is testing the 148.00 level. A break above 148.50 could push prices higher in the short term.

Fundamental Drivers:
UBS raised its USD/JPY forecast to 143 for the end of 2025, citing political uncertainty in Japan.

Trade Idea:
  • πŸ”Ί Buy Entry: Above 148.50
  • 🎯 Take Profit: 149.00
  • πŸ›‘ Stop Loss: Below 148.00
Tunde
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Tunde »

I jumped on that USD/JPY buy above 148.50 and it was sweet.

Closed around 148.95 and took some profit. Nothing big, but better than nothing. βœ…
Peaktrader
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Peaktrader »

Did anyone else catch the yen move? I bought once it broke 148.60 and it went straight into profit. I got nervous near 149 and took it off. Happy with that one.
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Stockfocus »

Missed the short setup… ended up taking a cheeky long scalp instead. Got out fast though. This zone around 149 is messy, feels like anything can happen.
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Festus »

Shorted near 149 and it actually worked. Closed around 148.65, nothing crazy but it paid.
Happy I didn’t overstay, this pair whips around too much.
Peaktrader
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Peaktrader »

USD/JPY β€” October 3, 2025
Bias: Slight Bearish ↓ / Pullback bias
Resistance: 149.20 ↑, 149.50 ↑
Support: 147.80 ↓, 147.20 ↓

Rationale:
- Yen often gains when USD weakens.
- Limited upside above 149.20 ↑ unless strong catalyst.
- Possible drop back to 147.80 ↓.

Trade Plan:
  • Short ↓ near 149.20 β†’ target 147.80
  • Long ↑ only if clean break above 149.50 β†’ target 150.20
  • Stop Loss: Short stop ~149.70, Long stop ~149.20
Peaktrader
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Peaktrader »

Peaktrader wrote: Thu Oct 02, 2025 9:38 am USD/JPY β€” October 3, 2025
Bias: Slight Bearish ↓ / Pullback bias
Resistance: 149.20 ↑, 149.50 ↑
Support: 147.80 ↓, 147.20 ↓

Rationale:
- Yen often gains when USD weakens.
- Limited upside above 149.20 ↑ unless strong catalyst.
- Possible drop back to 147.80 ↓.

Trade Plan:
  • Short ↓ near 149.20 β†’ target 147.80
  • Long ↑ only if clean break above 149.50 β†’ target 150.20
  • Stop Loss: Short stop ~149.70, Long stop ~149.20
I was eyeing the 149 zone as our forecast said, but we never got there.

Instead, price pulled back toward 147.50, so I entered a short there for a small move just now.
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Re: USD/JPY Forecast

Post by Tunde »

Peaktrader wrote: Thu Oct 02, 2025 9:38 am USD/JPY β€” October 3, 2025
Bias: Slight Bearish ↓ / Pullback bias
Resistance: 149.20 ↑, 149.50 ↑
Support: 147.80 ↓, 147.20 ↓

Rationale:
- Yen often gains when USD weakens.
- Limited upside above 149.20 ↑ unless strong catalyst.
- Possible drop back to 147.80 ↓.

Trade Plan:
  • Short ↓ near 149.20 β†’ target 147.80
  • Long ↑ only if clean break above 149.50 β†’ target 150.20
  • Stop Loss: Short stop ~149.70, Long stop ~149.20
Yen setup is disappointing so far. We expected a move from 149, but price is stuck in 147s.

Tried a small short nearer what looked like resistance on my chart, got stopped, this one is very tricky.
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